Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategorySean
77K →89
4.56ERA →3.68
1.39WHIP →1.30
1–2W →2–4
0SV0
Current Season
AndrewCategorySean
43K →60
5.74ERA →3.72
1.52WHIP →1.13
1W →2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Painter
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.341 elevated and unstable — the 6.21 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraSIGNALbut luck-free xERA 4.81 is +0.71 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
Sean Burke
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.68, 0.42 below league — production is earned
Burke projects for 89 K / 3.68 ERA vs Painter's 77 K / 4.56 ERA. Sizable skill gap and the buy / hold split formalizes it.