Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryEric
81K81
4.50ERA ←4.96
1.38WHIP ←1.40
1–3W →3–6
0SV0
Current Season
AndrewCategoryEric
43K ←30
5.74ERA ←5.95
1.52WHIP →1.39
1W →2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Painter
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.337 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Eric Lauer
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.42 +1.32 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Painter: 4.50 ERA / 1.38 WHIP vs Lauer: 4.96 ERA / 1.40 WHIP; both project 81 K. The buy-low verdict on Painter aligns with his better ratios.

