Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryMichael
81K ←71
4.50ERA ←5.12
1.38WHIP →1.31
1–3W →3–7
0SV0
Current Season
AndrewCategoryMichael
43K →44
5.74ERA →2.98
1.52WHIP →1.10
1W →3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Painter
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.337 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Michael McGreevy
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.249 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 5.67 is 2.69 above the ERA — regression coming
Painter's 81 K outpaces McGreevy's 71 K, while McGreevy's 5.12 ERA trails Painter's 4.50. The verdicts split: buy Painter's underlying skill, sell McGreevy before regression.