Rest of Season Projection
EricCategoryPatrick
81K ←80
4.96ERA →4.87
1.40WHIP →1.36
3–6W3–6
0SV0
Current Season
EricCategoryPatrick
30K →36
5.95ERA →3.65
1.39WHIP →1.36
2W2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Eric Lauer
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.42 +1.32 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Patrick Corbin
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.28 +1.18 vs league with no luck excuse
Eric Lauer: 81 K / 4.96 ERA. Patrick Corbin: 80 K / 4.87 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).