Rest of Season Projection
AntonioCategoryPete
33K →46
3.63ERA ←3.70
1.25WHIP →1.24
5–11W ←3–6
3–6SV →9–17
Current Season
AntonioCategoryPete
26K ←22
1.30ERA ←7.04
0.89WHIP ←1.30
5W ←2
3SV →6
What Each Player's System Trusts
Antonio Senzatela
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.209 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.17 is 1.87 above the ERA — regression coming
Pete Fairbanks
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.17)
Antonio Senzatela: 33 K / 3.63 ERA. Pete Fairbanks: 46 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).