MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Antwone Kelly
PIT · P
Change to
Portrait of Justin Sterner
Justin Sterner
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 0–0, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Antwone Kelly wins 0 (none); Justin Sterner wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Antwone Kelly
98.8
Justin Sterner
93.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Antwone Kelly
8.7%
Justin Sterner
15.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Antwone Kelly
16.9%
Justin Sterner
21.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Antwone Kelly
26.1%
Justin Sterner
33.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Antwone Kelly
41.2%
Justin Sterner
45.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Antwone Kelly
3.9%
Justin Sterner
9.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Antwone Kelly
.334
Justin Sterner
.292
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Antwone Kelly
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 7.71
3.70
Justin Sterner
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.54
3.69
WHIPlower is better
Antwone Kelly
1.041.36
now 1.29
1.24
Justin Sterner
1.041.36
now 1.11
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Antwone Kelly
4036.40
now 1
0
Justin Sterner
4036.40
now 26
0
Winshigher is better
Antwone Kelly
.0002.80
now 0
0–0
Justin Sterner
.0002.80
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAntwone Kelly — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeJustin Sterner — hold.conf 0.50
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