Rest of Season Projection
AustinCategoryMickey
1HR →2
35R35
17RBI ←13
3SB ←0
.226AVG →.253
Current Season
AustinCategoryMickey
1HR ←0
12R ←8
6RBI ←3
1SB ←0
.244AVG →.333
What Each Player's System Trusts
Austin Hedges
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.274)
Mickey Gasper
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.432 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.304 is 0.046 below the surface — regression coming
Austin Hedges: 1 HR / 35 R. Mickey Gasper: 2 HR / 35 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).