MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 31, 2026
Portrait of Austin Hedges
Austin Hedges
CLE · C
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Stephenson
Tyler Stephenson
CIN · C
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Tyler Stephenson.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, RBI, and average. Austin Hedges’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Tyler Stephenson wins 3 categories (HR, RBI, AVG); Austin Hedges wins 2 (R, SB).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Austin Hedges
86.4
Tyler Stephenson
91.0
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Austin Hedges
31.4%
Tyler Stephenson
45.7%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Austin Hedges
5.0%
Tyler Stephenson
11.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Austin Hedges
28.3%
Tyler Stephenson
22.3%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Austin Hedges
10.7%
Tyler Stephenson
11.8%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Austin Hedges
.289
Tyler Stephenson
.345
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Austin Hedges
.200.260
lg AVG .295
now .244
.235
Tyler Stephenson
.200.260
lg AVG .295
now .193
.241

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Austin Hedges
55.20
now 1
1
Tyler Stephenson
55.20
now 4
3
Runshigher is better
Austin Hedges
2019.20
now 12
16
Tyler Stephenson
2019.20
now 11
9
RBIhigher is better
Austin Hedges
2021.40
now 6
8
Tyler Stephenson
2021.40
now 17
14
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Austin Hedges
.0002.20
now 1
1
Tyler Stephenson
.0002.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighAustin Hedges — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.76
BuyTyler Stephenson — buy.conf 0.66
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