Rest of Season Projection
AustinCategoryOwen
3HR →9
37R ←32
29RBI →56
13SB ←6
.245AVG ←.186
Current Season
AustinCategoryOwen
2HR →5
22R ←17
17RBI →30
8SB ←3
.262AVG ←.234
What Each Player's System Trusts
Austin Martin
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.318)
Owen Caissie
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.282 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 41% is stable and high — caps the floor
Austin Martin: 3 HR / 37 R. Owen Caissie: 9 HR / 32 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).