Rest of Season Projection
JakeCategoryOwen
2HR →9
38R ←33
21RBI →58
19SB ←6
.255AVG ←.189
Current Season
JakeCategoryOwen
1HR →5
16R →17
9RBI →30
8SB ←3
.269AVG ←.234
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jake Mangum
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.290)
Owen Caissie
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.283 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 40% is stable and high — caps the floor
Jake Mangum: 2 HR / 38 R. Owen Caissie: 9 HR / 33 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).