Rest of Season Projection
AustinCategoryJonathan
38K ←28
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W1–2
0SV →1–2
Current Season
AustinCategoryJonathan
22K ←13
1.33ERA ←2.49
1.13WHIP →1.06
1W1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Austin Warren
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.260 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.82 is 2.49 above the ERA — regression coming
Jonathan Loáisiga
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.85)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Austin Warren: 38 K / 3.70 ERA. Jonathan Loáisiga: 28 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).