Rest of Season Projection
BlakeCategoryTyler
6HR →11
36R ←32
7RBI →20
7SB ←0
.233AVG ←.200
Current Season
BlakeCategoryTyler
1HR →2
10R →13
2RBI →8
2SB ←0
.269AVG ←.158
What Each Player's System Trusts
Blake Dunn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.345 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.274 is 0.059 below the surface — regression coming
Tyler O'Neill
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.273)
Blake Dunn: 6 HR / 36 R. Tyler O'Neill: 11 HR / 32 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).