Rest of Season Projection
BlakeCategoryChase
36K ←30
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W →2–6
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
BlakeCategoryChase
18K →20
3.06ERA →2.33
1.25WHIP →0.93
1W →2
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Blake Treinen
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.96)
Chase Shugart
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.32 is 1.11 above the ERA — regression coming
Blake Treinen: 36 K / 3.70 ERA. Chase Shugart: 30 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).