Rest of Season Projection
BoCategoryTristan
12HR ←11
42R ←28
42RBI →59
2SB →3
.265AVG ←.239
Current Season
BoCategoryTristan
5HR ←4
28R ←11
28RBI ←23
1SB1
.216AVG →.237
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bo Bichette
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.239 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Tristan Gray
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.305)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Bo Bichette: 12 HR / 42 R. Tristan Gray: 11 HR / 28 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).