Rest of Season Projection
MannyCategoryTristan
13HR ←11
44R ←28
47RBI →59
2SB →3
.204AVG →.239
Current Season
MannyCategoryTristan
10HR ←4
28R ←11
30RBI ←23
1SB1
.174AVG →.237
What Each Player's System Trusts
Manny Machado
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.172 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Tristan Gray
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.305)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Manny Machado: 13 HR / 44 R. Tristan Gray: 11 HR / 28 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).