Rest of Season Projection
BoCategoryZack
12HR ←10
42R →43
42RBI ←39
2SB →12
.265AVG ←.228
Current Season
BoCategoryZack
5HR →6
28R ←21
28RBI ←19
1SB →6
.216AVG →.259
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bo Bichette
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.239 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Zack Gelof
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.320 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.294 is 0.030 below the surface — regression coming
Bo Bichette: 12 HR / 42 R. Zack Gelof: 10 HR / 43 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).