Rest of Season Projection
BobbyCategoryMookie
20HR ←10
45R ←38
39RBI →43
26SB ←0
.310AVG ←.237
Current Season
BobbyCategoryMookie
9HR ←6
30R ←14
26RBI ←16
17SB ←0
.287AVG ←.196
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bobby Witt Jr.
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.396, +0.081 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Mookie Betts
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.174 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Bobby Witt Jr.: 20 HR / 45 R. Mookie Betts: 10 HR / 38 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).