MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Brad Keller
Brad Keller
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Gus Varland
Gus Varland
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Brad Keller wins 1 (ERA); Gus Varland wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brad Keller
97.0
Gus Varland
95.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brad Keller
10.1%
Gus Varland
10.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brad Keller
23.7%
Gus Varland
20.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brad Keller
28.0%
Gus Varland
32.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brad Keller
31.8%
Gus Varland
50.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brad Keller
4.5%
Gus Varland
15.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brad Keller
.284
Gus Varland
.392
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brad Keller
3.434.31
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.65
3.69
Gus Varland
3.434.31
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.09
3.76
WHIPlower is better
Brad Keller
.9801.71
now 1.14
1.25
Gus Varland
.9801.71
now 1.55
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brad Keller
4039.20
now 28
0
Gus Varland
4039.20
now 20
0
Winshigher is better
Brad Keller
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
Gus Varland
.0002.80
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBrad Keller — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeGus Varland — hold.conf 0.50
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