MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 22, 2026
Portrait of Brad Lord
Brad Lord
WSH · P
Change to
Zack Kelly
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Brad Lord wins 2 (K, W); Zack Kelly wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brad Lord
94.5
Zack Kelly
96.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brad Lord
10.3%
Zack Kelly
9.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brad Lord
21.0%
Zack Kelly
19.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brad Lord
31.1%
Zack Kelly
28.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brad Lord
40.8%
Zack Kelly
38.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brad Lord
5.9%
Zack Kelly
8.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brad Lord
.316
Zack Kelly
.368
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brad Lord
2.144.57
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.68
4.03
Zack Kelly
2.144.57
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.31
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Brad Lord
.9001.43
now 1.00
1.31
Zack Kelly
.9001.43
now 1.29
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brad Lord
4037.80
now 31
23
Zack Kelly
4037.80
now 14
17
Winshigher is better
Brad Lord
.0004.20
now 3
13
Zack Kelly
.0004.20
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyBrad Lord — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeZack Kelly — hold.conf 0.50
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