Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryCeddanne
14HR ←10
37R37
30RBI →37
3SB →10
.280AVG ←.249
Current Season
BrandonCategoryCeddanne
7HR ←5
26R ←23
21RBI →23
2SB →6
.258AVG →.275
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Nimmo
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.380, +0.065 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Ceddanne Rafaela
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.351 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.297 is 0.051 below the surface — regression coming
Brandon Nimmo: 14 HR / 37 R. Ceddanne Rafaela: 10 HR / 37 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).