Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryJonny
11HR ←3
33R →34
27RBI →38
3SB →12
.276AVG ←.249
Current Season
BrandonCategoryJonny
7HR ←2
26R ←17
21RBI ←19
2SB →6
.258AVG →.269
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Nimmo
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.371, +0.056 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Jonny DeLuca
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.330 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.277 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Brandon Nimmo: 11 HR / 33 R. Jonny DeLuca: 3 HR / 34 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).