MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 30, 2026
Portrait of Brandon Sproat
Brandon Sproat
MIL · P
Change to
Matt Waldron
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Matt Waldron.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Brandon Sproat’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Matt Waldron wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Brandon Sproat wins 0 (none); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brandon Sproat
96.8
Matt Waldron
92.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brandon Sproat
11.4%
Matt Waldron
8.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brandon Sproat
23.9%
Matt Waldron
17.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brandon Sproat
25.4%
Matt Waldron
31.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brandon Sproat
42.7%
Matt Waldron
36.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brandon Sproat
8.5%
Matt Waldron
5.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brandon Sproat
.341
Matt Waldron
.291
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brandon Sproat
2.328.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.24
4.70
Matt Waldron
2.328.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.49
4.08
WHIPlower is better
Brandon Sproat
1.141.87
now 1.53
1.43
Matt Waldron
1.141.87
now 1.71
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brandon Sproat
4072.80
now 52
0
Matt Waldron
4072.80
now 22
0
Winshigher is better
Brandon Sproat
.0001.48
now 1
0–0
Matt Waldron
.0001.48
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellBrandon Sproat — sell.conf 0.83
Buy LowMatt Waldron — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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