Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryCal
8HR →12
28R ←27
22RBI →30
2SB →3
.251AVG ←.180
Current Season
BrandonCategoryCal
4HR →7
13R →16
10RBI →18
1SB →2
.235AVG ←.161
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Valenzuela
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.349)
Cal Raleigh
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.192 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Cal Raleigh projects for 12 HR vs Brandon Valenzuela's 8, but Valenzuela's .251 AVG to Raleigh's .180 sets the clearest distinction. The buy-low verdict on Raleigh is more compelling.