MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Brandon Valenzuela
Brandon Valenzuela
TOR · C
Change to
Portrait of Patrick Bailey
Patrick Bailey
CLE · C
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Patrick Bailey.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — steals and average. Brandon Valenzuela’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Patrick Bailey wins 2 categories (SB, AVG); Brandon Valenzuela wins 1 (R); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Brandon Valenzuela
88.1
Patrick Bailey
90.3
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Brandon Valenzuela
37.3%
Patrick Bailey
41.5%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Brandon Valenzuela
7.0%
Patrick Bailey
6.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Brandon Valenzuela
29.0%
Patrick Bailey
31.2%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Brandon Valenzuela
12.5%
Patrick Bailey
13.3%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Brandon Valenzuela
.312
Patrick Bailey
.309
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Brandon Valenzuela
.200.270
lg AVG .295
now .235
.213
Patrick Bailey
.200.270
lg AVG .295
now .147
.225

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Brandon Valenzuela
55.60
now 4
0
Patrick Bailey
55.60
now 2
0
Runshigher is better
Brandon Valenzuela
2017.40
now 13
4
Patrick Bailey
2017.40
now 6
2
RBIhigher is better
Brandon Valenzuela
2013.20
now 10
3
Patrick Bailey
2013.20
now 9
3
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Brandon Valenzuela
.0003.20
now 1
0
Patrick Bailey
.0003.20
now 2
1
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyBrandon Valenzuela — hold.conf 0.60
Buy LowPatrick Bailey — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.68
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