Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryJacob
60K →148
4.28ERA →2.25
1.34WHIP →1.01
4–8W →5–12
0SV0
Current Season
BrandonCategoryJacob
19K →108
6.11ERA →1.65
1.64WHIP →0.79
2W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Williamson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.268 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 6.55 is 0.44 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Jacob Misiorowski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.242 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.25 is 0.75 above the ERA — regression coming
Brandon Williamson: 61 K / 4.28 ERA. Jacob Misiorowski: 150 K / 2.25 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).
