Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryCade
66K ←60
4.28ERA →4.10
1.35WHIP →1.30
4–8W ←2–5
0SV0
Current Season
BrandonCategoryCade
33K ←12
3.35ERA ←5.12
1.37WHIP →1.34
3W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Young
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.265 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.37 is 1.33 above the ERA — regression coming
Cade Povich
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.20)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Brandon Young: 66 K / 4.28 ERA. Cade Povich: 60 K / 4.10 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).