MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 6, 2026
Portrait of Brent Headrick
Brent Headrick
NYY · P
Change to
Erik Sabrowski
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Brent Headrick.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and wins. Erik Sabrowski’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Brent Headrick wins 2 categories (ERA, W); Erik Sabrowski wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brent Headrick
94.1
Erik Sabrowski
94.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brent Headrick
17.5%
Erik Sabrowski
15.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brent Headrick
26.6%
Erik Sabrowski
45.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brent Headrick
33.1%
Erik Sabrowski
29.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brent Headrick
37.7%
Erik Sabrowski
46.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brent Headrick
5.3%
Erik Sabrowski
12.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brent Headrick
.278
Erik Sabrowski
.264
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brent Headrick
24.48
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.00
3.67
Erik Sabrowski
24.48
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.71
3.69
WHIPlower is better
Brent Headrick
.9001.54
now 1.37
1.24
Erik Sabrowski
.9001.54
now 0.95
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brent Headrick
4046.60
now 29
29
Erik Sabrowski
4046.60
now 39
41
Winshigher is better
Brent Headrick
.0005.20
now 3
24
Erik Sabrowski
.0005.20
now 2
13

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBrent Headrick — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeErik Sabrowski — hold.conf 0.50
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