Rest of Season Projection
BrettCategoryMickey
2HR2
12R →35
26RBI ←13
0SB0
.194AVG →.253
Current Season
BrettCategoryMickey
1HR ←0
4R →8
9RBI ←3
0SB0
.195AVG →.333
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brett Sullivan
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.241)
Mickey Gasper
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.432 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.304 is 0.046 below the surface — regression coming
Brett Sullivan: 2 HR / 12 R. Mickey Gasper: 2 HR / 35 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).