Rest of Season Projection
BrooksCategorySam
38K ←35
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP ←1.25
1–2W1–2
0SV →1–2
Current Season
BrooksCategorySam
26K26
1.61ERA ←2.49
1.25WHIP →1.07
1W1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brooks Raley
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.61)
Sam Moll
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.254 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.79 is 0.90 above the ERA — regression coming
Brooks Raley: 38 K / 3.70 ERA. Sam Moll: 35 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).