MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Byron Buxton
Byron Buxton
MIN · CF
Change to
Nathan Church
STL · CF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 0–0, 5 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Byron Buxton wins 0 (none); Nathan Church wins 0 (none); 5 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Byron Buxton
90.2
Nathan Church
85.6
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Byron Buxton
46.7%
Nathan Church
30.1%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Byron Buxton
15.8%
Nathan Church
5.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Byron Buxton
34.4%
Nathan Church
42.2%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Byron Buxton
16.5%
Nathan Church
11.4%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Byron Buxton
.343
Nathan Church
.285
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Byron Buxton
.200.360
lg AVG .295
now .258
.000
Nathan Church
.200.360
lg AVG .295
now .260
.000

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Byron Buxton
523.80
now 17
0
Nathan Church
523.80
now 5
0
Runshigher is better
Byron Buxton
2056
now 40
0
Nathan Church
2056
now 18
0
RBIhigher is better
Byron Buxton
2037.80
now 27
0
Nathan Church
2037.80
now 18
0
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Byron Buxton
.0007
now 5
0
Nathan Church
.0007
now 4
0
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyByron Buxton — buy.conf 0.66
SellNathan Church — sell.conf 0.61
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