Rest of Season Projection
CadeCategoryJacob
60K →148
4.10ERA →2.25
1.30WHIP →1.01
2–5W →5–12
0SV0
Current Season
CadeCategoryJacob
12K →108
5.12ERA →1.65
1.34WHIP →0.79
1W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cade Povich
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.20)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Jacob Misiorowski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.242 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.25 is 0.75 above the ERA — regression coming
Cade Povich: 61 K / 4.10 ERA. Jacob Misiorowski: 150 K / 2.25 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).