Rest of Season Projection
CadeCategoryMatt
60K →67
4.10ERA4.09
1.30WHIP1.30
2–5W ←2–4
0SV0
Current Season
CadeCategoryMatt
12K →22
5.12ERA ←8.49
1.34WHIP ←1.71
1W1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cade Povich
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.20)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Matt Waldron
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.78 sits 0.32 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.384 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Povich: 61 K / 4.10 ERA vs Waldron: 68 K / 4.09 ERA — virtually identical surface stats, but Waldron's buy-low verdict signals underlying skill support.