MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 30, 2026
Cade Povich
BAL · P
Change to
Matt Waldron
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 0–0, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Cade Povich wins 0 (none); Matt Waldron wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Povich
91.8
Matt Waldron
92.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Povich
10.5%
Matt Waldron
8.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Povich
17.5%
Matt Waldron
17.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Povich
29.7%
Matt Waldron
31.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Povich
39.7%
Matt Waldron
36.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Povich
6.9%
Matt Waldron
5.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Povich
.331
Matt Waldron
.291
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Povich
2.328.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.12
4.10
Matt Waldron
2.328.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.49
4.08
WHIPlower is better
Cade Povich
1.141.87
now 1.34
1.30
Matt Waldron
1.141.87
now 1.71
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Povich
4030.80
now 12
0
Matt Waldron
4030.80
now 22
0
Winshigher is better
Cade Povich
.0001.48
now 1
0–0
Matt Waldron
.0001.48
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCade Povich — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowMatt Waldron — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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