MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Cal Raleigh
SEA · C
Change to
Portrait of Carson Kelly
Carson Kelly
CHC · C
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Cal Raleigh wins 2 (HR, SB); Carson Kelly wins 2 (R, AVG); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Cal Raleigh
88.1
Carson Kelly
87.8
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Cal Raleigh
32.6%
Carson Kelly
37.6%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Cal Raleigh
10.9%
Carson Kelly
6.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Cal Raleigh
36.9%
Carson Kelly
25.4%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Cal Raleigh
16.0%
Carson Kelly
9.0%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Cal Raleigh
.284
Carson Kelly
.319
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Cal Raleigh
.200.340
lg AVG .295
now .161
.175
Carson Kelly
.200.340
lg AVG .295
now .289
.240

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Cal Raleigh
59
now 7
5
Carson Kelly
59
now 2
2
Runshigher is better
Cal Raleigh
2021.20
now 16
14
Carson Kelly
2021.20
now 18
16
RBIhigher is better
Cal Raleigh
2021.20
now 18
15
Carson Kelly
2021.20
now 17
15
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Cal Raleigh
.0003.20
now 2
2
Carson Kelly
.0003.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
SellCal Raleigh — sell.conf 0.61
Hold · steadyCarson Kelly — hold.conf 0.60
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