Rest of Season Projection
CalCategoryCarson
12HR ←7
27R →32
30RBI30
3SB ←0
.180AVG →.265
Current Season
CalCategoryCarson
7HR ←2
16R →18
18RBI ←17
2SB ←0
.161AVG →.289
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cal Raleigh
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.192 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Carson Kelly
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.323)
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Cal Raleigh: 12 HR / 27 R. Carson Kelly: 7 HR / 32 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).