MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Carson Kelly
Carson Kelly
CHC · C
Change to
Elias Díaz
TEX · C
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 0–0, 5 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Carson Kelly wins 0 (none); Elias Díaz wins 0 (none); 5 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Carson Kelly
86.7
Elias Díaz
88.4
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Carson Kelly
36.1%
Elias Díaz
40.1%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Carson Kelly
5.2%
Elias Díaz
9.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Carson Kelly
25.2%
Elias Díaz
37.9%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Carson Kelly
9.0%
Elias Díaz
15.5%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Carson Kelly
.311
Elias Díaz
.264
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Carson Kelly
.200.400
lg AVG .295
now .289
.000
Elias Díaz
.200.400
lg AVG .295
now .227
.000

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Carson Kelly
53.20
now 2
0
Elias Díaz
53.20
now 2
0
Runshigher is better
Carson Kelly
2025.20
now 18
0
Elias Díaz
2025.20
now 3
0
RBIhigher is better
Carson Kelly
2023.80
now 17
0
Elias Díaz
2023.80
now 5
0
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Carson Kelly
.0001.20
now 0
0
Elias Díaz
.0001.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyCarson Kelly — hold.conf 0.60
SellElias Díaz — sell.conf 0.65
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