100 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Elias Díaz
data as of July 22, 2026·week 17
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.290); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 2AVG .206R 15RBI 25SB 0
Díaz is a hold — limited data, no edge either way.
ROS projects HR 2 YTD → 2 ROS, AVG .227 YTD → .206 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %6.3%—+0.3% ▲vs his ~6.0% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.290)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo86.4 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.6 mphvs his norm —
79 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %36.7%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−3.3%vs his norm —
79 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.7%vs his norm +0.3% ▲
79 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.290
lg avg .315 ▼−.025vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
100 / 160 PA
wOBA.304
lg avg .315 ▼−.011vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
100 / 200 PA
Strikeout %19.0%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−3.0%vs his norm —
100 / 60 PA
Walk %2.0%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−6.5%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league average — expect it to rise.
100 / 120 PA
BABIP.280
lg avg .295 ▼−.015vs his norm −.029 ▼BABIP is below his ~.308 norm — expect it to rise.
79 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %15.4%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+4.4%vs his norm —
100 / 50 PA
Chase %40.0%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+11.5%vs his norm —
100 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 6.3%→6.1%signal2 HR — Barrel% 6.3% (signal) tempered to career ~6.0% → projected 6.1%.
BABIP 0.280→0.251 regressednoise.206 AVG — BABIP 0.280 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.247 (xBA 0.262) → 0.251.
on-base + lineup15 R — his run rate over ~115 projected PA.
slugging + lineup25 RBI — his RBI rate over ~115 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 10 G) over ~115 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.