MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Durbin
Caleb Durbin
BOS · 3B
Change to
Portrait of Nolan Arenado
Nolan Arenado
AZ · 3B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Caleb Durbin wins 2 (SB, AVG); Nolan Arenado wins 2 (R, RBI); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Caleb Durbin
83.5
Nolan Arenado
84.8
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Caleb Durbin
25.7%
Nolan Arenado
30.6%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Caleb Durbin
2.8%
Nolan Arenado
6.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Caleb Durbin
28.0%
Nolan Arenado
31.7%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Caleb Durbin
7.5%
Nolan Arenado
10.9%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Caleb Durbin
.291
Nolan Arenado
.287
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Caleb Durbin
.200.300
lg AVG .295
now .183
.230
Nolan Arenado
.200.300
lg AVG .295
now .270
.199

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Caleb Durbin
511.20
now 1
0
Nolan Arenado
511.20
now 8
0
Runshigher is better
Caleb Durbin
2038
now 15
3
Nolan Arenado
2038
now 28
6
RBIhigher is better
Caleb Durbin
2037.20
now 22
5
Nolan Arenado
2037.20
now 28
6
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Caleb Durbin
.0005.60
now 4
1
Nolan Arenado
.0005.60
now 1
0
If you already own them — trade angle
SellCaleb Durbin — sell.conf 0.60
SellNolan Arenado — sell.conf 0.61
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