Rest of Season Projection
CalebCategoryTyler
37K ←34
3.72ERA →3.70
1.25WHIP →1.24
2–4W →2–6
3–6SV ←1–4
Current Season
CalebCategoryTyler
29K ←17
3.81ERA →3.44
1.15WHIP →0.98
2W2
3SV ←1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Caleb Kilian
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.215 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.15 is 0.57 above the ERA — regression coming
Tyler Davis
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.57)
Caleb Kilian: 37 K / 3.72 ERA. Tyler Davis: 34 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).