Rest of Season Projection
CalebCategoryRyan
37K →52
3.72ERA3.72
1.25WHIP ←1.26
2–4W2–5
3–6SV ←1–3
Current Season
CalebCategoryRyan
29K →32
3.81ERA ←5.74
1.15WHIP ←1.39
2W2
3SV ←1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Caleb Kilian
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.215 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.15 is 0.57 above the ERA — regression coming
Ryan Zeferjahn
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.00)
Caleb Kilian: 37 K / 3.72 ERA. Ryan Zeferjahn: 52 K / 3.72 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).