Rest of Season Projection
ColinCategoryRyan
34K →52
3.69ERA ←3.72
1.24WHIP ←1.26
3–8W ←2–5
0SV →1–3
Current Season
ColinCategoryRyan
23K →32
2.14ERA ←5.74
0.81WHIP ←1.39
3W ←2
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colin Holderman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.208 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.70 is 0.74 above the ERA — regression coming
Ryan Zeferjahn
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.00)
Colin Holderman: 34 K / 3.69 ERA. Ryan Zeferjahn: 52 K / 3.72 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).