Rest of Season Projection
AlbertCategoryColin
34K →35
3.71ERA →3.69
1.24WHIP1.24
3–7W →3–8
1–4SV ←0
Current Season
AlbertCategoryColin
10K →23
2.61ERA →2.14
1.21WHIP →0.81
2W →3
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Albert Suárez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.257 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.16 is 0.79 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Colin Holderman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.208 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.69 is 0.73 above the ERA — regression coming
Albert Suárez: 34 K / 3.71 ERA. Colin Holderman: 35 K / 3.69 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).