Rest of Season Projection
AlbertCategoryDylan
34K →50
3.71ERA →3.56
1.24WHIP →1.22
3–7W ←2–5
1–4SV ←0
Current Season
AlbertCategoryDylan
10K →34
2.61ERA →1.30
1.21WHIP →0.61
2W2
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Albert Suárez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.257 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.16 is 0.79 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Dylan Lee
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.203 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 1.74 is 0.48 above the ERA — regression coming
Albert Suárez: 34 K / 3.71 ERA. Dylan Lee: 50 K / 3.56 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).