MLB Daily DeltaWeek 11 · June 5, 2026
Engraved portrait of Caleb Kilian
Caleb Kilian
SF·P
Hold med·0.50
Change to
Engraved portrait of Dylan Lee
Dylan Lee
ATL·P
Sell High med·0.74
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

CalebCategoryDylan
39K 51
3.71ERA 3.56
1.25WHIP 1.22
2–4W2–5
3–6SV 0

Current Season

CalebCategoryDylan
29K 34
3.81ERA 1.30
1.15WHIP 0.61
2W2
3SV 0

What Each Player's System Trusts

Caleb Kilian
  • xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.93)
Dylan Lee
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.203 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 1.74 is 0.48 above the ERA — regression coming

Caleb Kilian: 39 K / 3.71 ERA. Dylan Lee: 51 K / 3.56 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.

Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

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