Who's more valuable, rest of season
David Morgan.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and wins. Caleb Kilian’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
K
▶
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
▶
◀
SV
David Morgan wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, W); Caleb Kilian wins 2 (ERA, SV).
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
96.8
David Morgan
97.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
13.9%
David Morgan
16.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
27.9%
David Morgan
24.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
31.7%
David Morgan
36.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
35.8%
David Morgan
27.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
7.5%
David Morgan
1.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
.280
David Morgan
.284
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Kilian
3.035.92
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.81
3.67
David Morgan
3.035.92
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.28
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Kilian
.9002.19
now 1.15
1.25
David Morgan
.9002.19
now 1.89
1.24
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
4034.60
now 29
15
David Morgan
4034.60
now 17
17
Winshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.2003.80
now 2
1–2
David Morgan
.2003.80
now 2
1–3
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.0004.40
now 3
1–2
David Morgan
.0004.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Kilian — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowDavid Morgan — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90