Who's more valuable, rest of season
David Morgan.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and wins. Caleb Kilian’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.
Head-to-head
K
▶
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
▶
◀
SV
David Morgan wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, W); Caleb Kilian wins 1 (SV); 1 even.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
96.7
David Morgan
97.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
13.2%
David Morgan
16.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
28.6%
David Morgan
25.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
31.9%
David Morgan
35.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
38.5%
David Morgan
31.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
9.0%
David Morgan
1.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
.302
David Morgan
.292
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Kilian
3.075.91
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.81
3.70
David Morgan
3.075.91
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.28
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Kilian
.9002.19
now 1.15
1.25
David Morgan
.9002.19
now 1.89
1.24
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
4039.40
now 29
30
David Morgan
4039.40
now 17
33
Winshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.4007.60
now 2
2–4
David Morgan
.4007.60
now 2
2–6
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.0007
now 3
3–5
David Morgan
.0007
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighCaleb Kilian — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.82
Buy LowDavid Morgan — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90