MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Kilian
Caleb Kilian
PHI · P
Change to
Erik Sabrowski
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Caleb Kilian wins 2 (ERA, SV); Erik Sabrowski wins 2 (K, WHIP); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
96.8
Erik Sabrowski
94.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
13.6%
Erik Sabrowski
15.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
26.8%
Erik Sabrowski
37.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
32.7%
Erik Sabrowski
29.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
34.9%
Erik Sabrowski
35.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
8.5%
Erik Sabrowski
7.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
.292
Erik Sabrowski
.254
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Kilian
24.65
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.81
3.54
Erik Sabrowski
24.65
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.71
3.69
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Kilian
.9001.47
now 1.15
1.32
Erik Sabrowski
.9001.47
now 0.95
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
4052.60
now 29
5
Erik Sabrowski
4052.60
now 39
9
Winshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.0002.80
now 2
01
Erik Sabrowski
.0002.80
now 2
01
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.0004.40
now 3
01
Erik Sabrowski
.0004.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyCaleb Kilian — buy.conf 0.77
Hold · wait & seeErik Sabrowski — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet