MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Kilian
Caleb Kilian
PHI · P
Change to
Julian Garcia
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Caleb Kilian wins 2 (ERA, SV); Julian Garcia wins 2 (K, WHIP); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
96.8
Julian Garcia
92.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
13.6%
Julian Garcia
13.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
26.8%
Julian Garcia
24.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
32.7%
Julian Garcia
30.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
34.9%
Julian Garcia
32.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
8.5%
Julian Garcia
4.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
.292
Julian Garcia
.262
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Kilian
2.806.14
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.81
3.54
Julian Garcia
2.806.14
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Kilian
1.081.39
now 1.15
1.32
Julian Garcia
1.081.39
now 1.20
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
4039.40
now 29
5
Julian Garcia
4039.40
now 3
9
Winshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.0002.80
now 2
01
Julian Garcia
.0002.80
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.0004.40
now 3
01
Julian Garcia
.0004.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyCaleb Kilian — buy.conf 0.77
Hold · wait & seeJulian Garcia — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet