Rest of Season Projection
BradCategoryCaleb
43K ←36
3.67ERA ←3.72
1.24WHIP ←1.25
2–6W ←2–4
0SV →3–6
Current Season
BradCategoryCaleb
31K ←29
2.68ERA ←3.81
1.00WHIP ←1.15
3W ←2
0SV →3
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brad Lord
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.232 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.52 is 1.06 above the ERA — regression coming
Caleb Kilian
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.221 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.08 is 0.63 above the ERA — regression coming
Brad Lord: 43 K / 3.67 ERA. Caleb Kilian: 36 K / 3.72 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).