MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Brad Lord
Brad Lord
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Caleb Kilian
Caleb Kilian
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Brad Lord wins 2 (K, W); Caleb Kilian wins 2 (ERA, SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brad Lord
94.6
Caleb Kilian
96.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brad Lord
9.9%
Caleb Kilian
13.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brad Lord
21.8%
Caleb Kilian
26.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brad Lord
30.0%
Caleb Kilian
32.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brad Lord
37.1%
Caleb Kilian
34.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brad Lord
6.6%
Caleb Kilian
8.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brad Lord
.309
Caleb Kilian
.292
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brad Lord
2.194.39
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.68
3.90
Caleb Kilian
2.194.39
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.81
3.54
WHIPlower is better
Brad Lord
.9001.45
now 1.00
1.32
Caleb Kilian
.9001.45
now 1.15
1.32

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brad Lord
4041.40
now 31
6
Caleb Kilian
4041.40
now 29
5
Winshigher is better
Brad Lord
.0004.20
now 3
01
Caleb Kilian
.0004.20
now 2
01
Saveshigher is better
Brad Lord
.0004.40
now 0
0
Caleb Kilian
.0004.40
now 3
01
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighBrad Lord — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.80
BuyCaleb Kilian — buy.conf 0.77
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