Rest of Season Projection
CalebCategoryColin
40K ←37
3.71ERA →3.69
1.25WHIP →1.24
2–4W →3–9
3–6SV ←0
Current Season
CalebCategoryColin
29K ←23
3.81ERA →2.14
1.15WHIP →0.81
2W →3
3SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Caleb Kilian
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.92)
Colin Holderman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.212 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.76 is 0.72 above the ERA — regression coming
Caleb Kilian: 40 K / 3.71 ERA. Colin Holderman: 37 K / 3.69 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).