Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryCaleb
45K ←36
3.73ERA →3.71
1.24WHIP ←1.25
3–7W ←2–4
0SV →3–6
Current Season
AndrewCategoryCaleb
27K →29
5.16ERA →3.81
1.41WHIP →1.15
3W ←2
0SV →3
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Nardi
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.06)
Caleb Kilian
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.214 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.94 is 0.60 above the ERA — regression coming
Andrew Nardi: 45 K / 3.73 ERA. Caleb Kilian: 36 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).