MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Nardi
Andrew Nardi
MIA · P
Change to
David Morgan
SD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

David Morgan.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA. Andrew Nardi’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

David Morgan wins 1 categories (ERA); Andrew Nardi wins 0 (none); 3 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Nardi
94.6
David Morgan
97.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Nardi
14.6%
David Morgan
15.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Nardi
27.3%
David Morgan
23.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Nardi
29.5%
David Morgan
35.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Nardi
45.0%
David Morgan
28.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Nardi
13.3%
David Morgan
1.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Nardi
.348
David Morgan
.286
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Nardi
3.075.91
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.16
3.74
David Morgan
3.075.91
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.28
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Nardi
.9802.15
now 1.41
1.24
David Morgan
.9802.15
now 1.89
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Nardi
4035.40
now 27
6
David Morgan
4035.40
now 17
6
Winshigher is better
Andrew Nardi
.0004.20
now 3
01
David Morgan
.0004.20
now 2
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAndrew Nardi — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowDavid Morgan — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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