MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 4, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Nardi
Andrew Nardi
MIA · P
Change to
David Morgan
SD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Andrew Nardi wins 1 (K); David Morgan wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Nardi
94.6
David Morgan
97.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Nardi
14.6%
David Morgan
16.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Nardi
27.3%
David Morgan
24.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Nardi
29.5%
David Morgan
36.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Nardi
45.0%
David Morgan
27.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Nardi
13.3%
David Morgan
1.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Nardi
.349
David Morgan
.284
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Nardi
3.075.91
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.16
3.74
David Morgan
3.075.91
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.28
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Nardi
.9802.15
now 1.41
1.24
David Morgan
.9802.15
now 1.89
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Nardi
4039.40
now 27
33
David Morgan
4039.40
now 17
29
Winshigher is better
Andrew Nardi
.8006.20
now 3
25
David Morgan
.8006.20
now 2
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAndrew Nardi — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowDavid Morgan — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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