MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
WSH · P
Change to
David Morgan
SD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Andrew Alvarez wins 2 (K, SV); David Morgan wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
92.3
David Morgan
97.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
11.1%
David Morgan
15.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
22.7%
David Morgan
23.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
30.0%
David Morgan
35.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
40.9%
David Morgan
28.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
5.7%
David Morgan
1.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
.321
David Morgan
.286
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
3.075.91
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
4.12
David Morgan
3.075.91
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.28
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
.9802.15
now 1.28
1.38
David Morgan
.9802.15
now 1.89
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
4022.60
now 17
9
David Morgan
4022.60
now 17
6
Winshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0002.80
now 1
01
David Morgan
.0002.80
now 2
01
Saveshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0002.40
now 1
01
David Morgan
.0002.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAndrew Alvarez — hold.conf 0.60
Buy LowDavid Morgan — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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